After 40 years, more evidence is being reported Wednesday that the end
of the biggest manhunt in the history of physics might finally be in
sight.
The signal, in data collected over the last several years at Fermilab’s
Tevatron accelerator, agrees roughly with results announced last
December from two independent experimental groups working at the Large Hadron Collider at CERN, the European Organization for Nuclear Research, outside Geneva.
“Based on the current Tevatron data and results compiled through
December 2011 by other experiments, this is the strongest hint of the
existence of a Higgs boson,” said the report, which will be presented on
Wednesday by Wade Fisher of Michigan State University to a physics
conference in La Thuile, Italy.
None of these results, either singly or collectively, are strong enough
for scientists to claim victory. But the recent run of reports has
encouraged them to think that the elusive particle, which is the key to
mass and diversity in the universe, is within sight, perhaps as soon as
this summer.
Beate Heinemann, a professor at the University of California, Berkeley,
who has been deeply involved in analyzing data from the Large Hadron
Collider, said recently of the CERN results, “This very much smells like
the Higgs boson.” But, she noted, the signal could also go away when
more data is obtained.
The Higgs boson is the key piece of the Standard Model, an ambitious
suite of equations that has ruled the universe of high-energy physics
for the last few decades, explaining how three of the four fundamental
forces of nature work. But the boson itself has never been observed. The
theory describes how it should work and behave but does not predict one
of its key attributes, namely its mass.
Last December, two groups, which run giant particle detectors named
Atlas and C.M.S. from the CERN collider, reported that they had found
promising bumps in their data at masses of 124 billion electron volts
and 126 billion electron volts, respectively, those being the units of
mass or energy preferred by particle physicists. (By comparison, a
proton is about a billion electron volts, and an electron is about half a
million.)
The Fermilab physicists have found a broad hump in their data in the
same region, between 115 billion and 135 billion electron volts. Those
results came from combining the data from two detectors operated on the
Tevatron: the Collider Detector at Fermilab, and DZero. The chances of
this signal being the result of a random fluctuation in the data were
only about 1 in 100, the group said.
Dmitri Denisov, a leader of the Fermilab effort, wrote in an e-mail on
the way to La Thuile, “It is clearly not the answer to crossword, but an
important piece of the puzzle!”
Rumors of sightings of the Higgs boson have come and gone at both CERN
and Fermilab in the last few years, but invariably where one group saw a
bump, another saw a dip in the data, and with more data the bumps went
away.
This is the first time in the long search for the particle that
different groups, indeed different colliders, are in vague agreement.
It has led to a joke in physics circles now: The Higgs boson has not
been discovered yet, but its mass is 125 billion electron volts.
The Atlas and C.M.S. groups will be trying to combine and reconcile
their data in the coming weeks. The Hadron collider, now on winter
break, will start up again in April, with protons colliding at four
trillion electron volts apiece. CERN has said that the collider will
gather enough data this year either to confirm the existence of the
Higgs boson or to rule it out forever.
Either outcome, physicists say, will be exciting. If the Higgs does not
exist, they will have to come up with a new model of how the universe
works. If they do find the Higgs, studying it might give them clues to
deeper mysteries the Standard Model does not solve.
The Tevatron, which was the most powerful accelerator in the world for 20 years, shut down last September.
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